Saskatchewan farmland a strong investment

Saskatchewan farmland a strong investment

최근 로컬신문기사내용입니다.
현재 사스캐츄원의 평균 농장 가격은 에이커당 $408 로서, 마니코바주 $695, 알버타주 $1221 온타리오주 $4388 에 비교하면 아직도 저렴하다는 내용입니다.
한화로 계산하면, 평당 340원꼴입니다.( 408000원/1200평). 한국에 비하면 정말 저렴한 가격이 아닌가요?
미래 농작물 가격의 상승을 예측한다면, 투자하는 것도 좋은 방법 중에 한가지겠군요. 

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Financial guru and author Jim Rogers recently gave a speech in Toronto in which he suggested to the assembled investment bankers that they "sell their houses in the city, move to Saskatchewan, buy tractors and farmland and start farming."

Seeing investment bankers employed in a productive profession would, of course, be interesting, but the real message is Rogers expects crop production to be profitable, causing Saskatchewan farmland values to continue rising.

A growing number of financial experts agree and are advising that farmland is a strong investment, particularly in Saskatchewan, where land values remain far lower than any of the neighbouring jurisdictions.

Rogers is an adviser to Agcapita Farmland Investment Partnership -- one of the investment companies buying farmland in this province. The Calgary-based Agcapita rents the land back to producers, with a longer-term plan of selling for a capital gain.

Agcapita claims to have the only RRSP eligible farmland fund in the country. The minimum investment is $10,000.

It goes without saying investment experts aren't always right and they don't always pick winners. However, there's little doubt investment capital flowing into farmland is one of the factors pushing prices upward.

Prices haven't always risen. According to Statistics Canada, Saskatchewan farmland values peaked in 1982, when the average value of farmland and buildings hit $413 an acre.

That was the start of incredibly high interest rates. Farmers and everyone else had a tough time paying their debts. Some dry years and falling farm income levels created more difficulty, putting a lot of producers in financial difficulty.

As land prices dropped, equity evaporated, much like the current mortgage crisis in the American housing sector. Before the situation stabilized, lending institutions owned more than one million acres of Saskatchewan farmland.

From 1982 to 1993, the average value of Saskatchewan farmland steadily declined, eventually hitting a modern-time low of $253 an acre.

Since that time, farmland prices have gradually, but steadily, increased. The stats show the average value hit $408 an acre in 2007, the last year for which numbers are available.

There was a fairly significant jump between 2006 and 2007. All indicators suggest the increase was even greater in 2008. When the 2008 numbers are finally available, they will no doubt put farmland values at an all-time high.

It has taken more than 25 years for our land prices to establish a new high-water mark, but that doesn't deter the investors who believe values will continue to rise.

It should be noted averages are deceiving. In some geographic pockets, demand for farmland seems to be soft, as evidenced by land owners having difficulty finding anyone interested in renting.

On the other hand, top farmland in areas with strong demand is selling for $1,200 an acre, with some specific cases that are substantially higher.

Whether you look at averages or the top sales values, we remain low compared to other provinces. While Saskatchewan's average per-acre farmland value was $408 in 2007, Manitoba was at $695 and Alberta was at an average of $1,221.

The highest average farmland values in the country were in Ontario at an amazing $4,388 an acre.

There are some good reasons why Saskatchewan values trail other jurisdictions and there's no way to predict the long-term future with certainty.

For the short term, the outlook in the grain industry remains quite positive. The major decline in grain prices has been partially offset by the drop in fertilizer prices and a significant decline in diesel fuel costs.

Therefore, the bottom shouldn't drop out of farmland prices in the next year. That's more certainty than you have with a lot of investments.

Kevin Hursh is a consulting agrologist and farmer based in Saskatoon. He can be reached at kevin@hursh.ca.

Published 19 March 09 10:41 by Kang Kim
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